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Recent Republican polling companies have placed Republican challenger Van Tran in a tie with Rep. Loretta Sanchez in what is expected to be Orange County's closest congressional race.
But in it's final pre-election prediction, The New York Times is forecasting this morning that Sanchez has an 89.1 percent chance of winning the race.
The paper predicts, based on a series of models, that Sanchez beats Tran, the Little Saigon state Assemblyman, by an 8.2 percent margin, 52.5 percent to 44.3 percent.
Sanchez has trounced her Republican challengers in past elections, but the feisty if physically petite Tran is hoping to be the Manny Pacquiao of 2010 politics by defeating the undisputed giant of the OC Democratic Party.
Both candidates say the other is ethically corrupt.